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Super Bowl LVII took place on Sunday, February 12, featuring the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles duking it out for the title. EA Sports historically simulates the Big Game and releases the results of the match-up, with this year’s simulation picked the Eagles to beat the Chiefs 31-17. That was wrong, as the Chiefs ended up winning with a last-minute FG to take the title by a score of 38-35.
The simulation predicted that Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes would complete 29 of 39 passes for 249 yards and one touchdown in the loss. In reality, he was 21/27 for 182 yard and two touchdowns. He got injured before the end of the first half but rallied in a big way in the second in the win.
Wide receiver A.J. Brown of the Eagles will catch eight passes for 114 yards and one touchdown, according to the simulation. In reality, Brown caught 6 passes for 96 yards and one touchdown.
Chris Jones of the Chiefs will have a big performance in the game, picking up four tackles and two sacks, according to the simulation. In the real game, Jones had two tackles and no sacks. The simulation also said Eagles safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson would have five tackles and one interception. He ended up having two tackles and no interceptions.
EA’s predictions in the past have been eerily accurate, like in 2015 when the simulation predicted the Patriots’ comeback victory against the Seattle Seahawks–and the final score–along with the exact type of pass play that made it happen. It was spooky. But EA isn’t always that accurate with its predictions. Sometimes, the simulation gets it very, very wrong.
With the Big Game dominating the sporting world this week, we’re looking back at the past 10 years of EA Sports Madden Super Bowl simulations and predictions. As you’ll see, EA’s track record for predicting the winner has been a mix.
EA got off to a hot start by accurately predicting the Super Bowl winners four straight years, from Super Bowl 38 to Super Bowl 41. Since then, however, the simulation never got it right more than two years in a row, but it also never got it wrong for more than two straight years.
What does it all mean? Looking at the past decade-plus, EA has accurately predicted the Super Bowl winner 50% of the time, which is impressive.
Off the field, companies are spending as much as $7 million for 30-second advertisements on Fox, which carries the game this year. This will include a new TV spot for Popcorners featuring Walter White and Jesse Pinkman.
Here is a rundown of EA’s Madden Super Bowl simulations over the past years, looking at what was predicted and then what actually happened in real life. Super Bowl 57 takes place Sunday, February 12, starting at 6:30 PM ET on Fox.
Madden Super Bowl Predictions Over The Years
| Super Bowl | EA Prediction | Actual Result | Right Or Wrong? |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Super Bowl 57 Super Bowl 56 Super Bowl 55 Super Bowl 54 |
PHI 31, KC 17 LA 21, CIN 24 KC 37, TB 27 KC 35, SF 31 |
KC 38, PHI 35 LA 23, CIN 20 KC 9, TB 31 KC 31, SF 20 |
Wrong! Wrong! Wrong! Right! |
| Super Bowl 53 | LA 30, NE 27 | NE 13, LA 3 | Wrong! |
| Super Bowl 52 | NE 24, PHI 20 | PHI 41, NE 33 | Wrong! |
| Super Bowl 51 | NE 27, ATL 24 | NE 34, ATL 28 | Right! |
| Super Bowl 50 | CAR 24, DEN 20 | DEN 24, CAR 10 | Wrong! |
| Super Bowl 49 | NE 28, SEA 24 | NE 28, SEA 24 | Spooky Good! |
| Super Bowl 48 | DEN 31, SEA 28 | SEA 43, DEN 8 | Wrong! |
| Super Bowl 47 | BAL 27, SF 24 | BAL 34, SF 31 | Right! |
| Super Bowl 46 | NYG 27, NE 24 | NYG 21, NE 17 | Right! |
