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Deadpool & Wolverine hits theaters on July 26, and the film is expected to start very strong at the box office. But just what kind of numbers are expected? Multiple box office tracking services have published their reports and are expecting Deadpool & Wolverine to make between $160 million-$165 million at the domestic box office for its opening weekend, according to Deadline.
That would be the best debut for any movie in the US so far in 2024 and it would set a new opening-weekend record for an R-rated film in the history of movies. The 2016 original Deadpool movie currently holds the record for biggest opening weekend stateside for an R-rated film with $132.4 million.
Box office predictions are unreliable and highly variable, and are known to change, especially this far out from release. For example, a previous projection from the company Quorum was modeling Deadpool & Wolverine opening in the US to $200 million.
Pre-sales for Deadpool & Wolverine currently stand at $19 million, according to Deadline. Tickets went on sale in May and quickly broke sales records.
Deadpool and Wolverine is the first new Deadpool film since Deadpool 2 released in 2018, prior to Disney buying 20th Century Fox and the associated Marvel character rights. Some wondered and worried that Disney might try to tone things down, but that is not the case. In fact, Reynolds recently talked about how he was surprised with how much he was able to get away with in Deadpool and Wolverine as it relates to the film’s R rating.
“I hope it doesn’t sound condescending, I’m really proud of [Disney and Marvel] for doing this,” Reynolds said. “I think it’s a huge step for them.”
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